Suppose I ask Grok to explore this scenario: “Assume our main chip supplier closes its factory for six weeks.” We discuss inventory and delivery delays, and then I ask for a short briefing to send to colleagues.

That final briefing needs to preserve the distinction between a planning assumption and something that actually happened. A sentence like “The supplier has closed its factory” would completely change the meaning.

For hypothetical scenario planning, is it enough to label the opening prompt, or should every summary request explicitly ask Grok to separate confirmed facts, assumptions, and predictions?

I’d like to test this over a longer conversation, including cases where we revise the shutdown from six weeks to two. What would be a useful way to evaluate assumption tracking across turns without checking only whether the final answer contains the word “hypothetical”?